Scholars

Silvia Merler

Silvia Merler

Affiliate Fellow

Expertise: macroeconomics, european governance, ECB and monetary policy, international economics CV: Download CV Twitter: @SMerler

Silvia Merler, an Italian citizen, joined Bruegel as Affiliate Fellow at Bruegel in August 2013. Her main research interests include international macro and financial economics, central banking and EU institutions and policy making.

Before joining Bruegel, she worked as Economic Analyst in DG Economic and Financial Affairs of the European Commission (ECFIN). There she focused on macro-financial stability as well as financial assistance and stability mechanisms, in particular on the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), providing supportive analysis for the policy negotiations.

Between May 2011 and August 2012, she worked as Research Assistant to Jean Pisani-Ferry, then-director of Bruegel. During 2009 and 2010, while a student, she collaborated to research projects of Bocconi University and the Italian ENI Enrico Mattei Foundation (FEEM). During this period she was involved in the MICRODYN project, working on a cross-country and cross-sectors analysis of productivity developments with firm level data, and on the POLINARES project (“Policy for Natural Resources”).

At Bruegel she has been writing on various aspects of the sovereign-banking crisis, on monetary policy, on macroeconomic imbalances and adjustment as well as on the dynamics of capital flows in the Euro Area. She contributes weekly to the Bruegel Blog and has been quoted in articles by several prominent newspapers including Bloomberg, Business Insider, Corriere della Sera, Die Welt, Ekathimerini, El Mundo, Eurointelligence, Financial Times, Jornal de Negocios, MNI News, Wall Street Journal, and The Telegraph. She also constructed two new databases (on sovereign bond holdings and ECB liquidity provisions) that have been made publicly available on the website.

Born in 1986, she holds a MSc in Economics and Social Sciences at Bocconi University in Milan and graduated in 2011 with a thesis on Current Account Imbalances within the Euro Area. She obtained a BA in Economics and Social Sciences from the same university in 2008, with a thesis on Ukraine and Moldova in the European Neighbourhood Policy.

Declaration of interests 2014

Declaration of interests 2015

Contact information

silvia.merler@bruegel.org

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Blog Post

Pia Hüttl
Silvia Merler

Sovereign bond holdings in the euro area - the impact of QE

Since the announcement of the QE programme by the European Central Bank (ECB) on 22 January 2015, national central banks have been buying government and national agency bonds. In this post we look at the effect of QE on sectoral holdings of government bonds, based on our recently updated dataset.

By: Pia Hüttl and Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: May 19, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

Italy's Atlas bank bailout fund: the shareholder of last resort

Italy’s new bank fund Atlas might be what is needed in the short run, but in the longer term the fund will increase systemic risk. What ultimately matters is how this initiative will affect the quality of bank governance, a key issue for the future resilience of the system.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: April 22, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

ECB TLTRO 2.0 - Lending at negative rates

On Thursday, the ECB surprised observers by announcing a new series of four targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO II) to be started in June 2016. The incentive structure of the programme has changed: on one hand, this TLTRO II could be the first case of lending at negative rates; on the other hand, the link with lending to the real economy might have been weakened.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 11, 2016
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Blog Post

Pia Hüttl
Silvia Merler

Brexit endangers London’s status as a financial hub

The UK’s competitive edge in financial services is substantial and would be difficult to dislodge. But Brexit could damage London’s attractiveness as the centre of European banking, as an entry point to the EU and as a global financial hub. FDI is also at risk.

By: Pia Hüttl and Silvia Merler Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: March 10, 2016
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Pia Hüttl
Silvia Merler

Fog in the Channel: Brexit through the eyes of international trade

As we approach the referendum that will decide whether the UK continues to be a member of the European Union, we review the UK’s trade position. If Brexit occurs, the UK would need to re-negotiate more than 100 trade agreements.

By: Pia Hüttl and Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 3, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler
marcello-minenna-332795 (2)

Hard times for Italian banks

Silvia Merler and Marcello Minenna review the structure of of the recently adopted Italian guarantees scheme, and look at solutions implemented in other countries. They argue that rather than spending time revising rules that have already been agreed, alternatives should be considered to make the guarantee schemes as effective as possible.

By: Silvia Merler and Marcello Minenna Date: February 17, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

EU migration crisis: facts, figures and disappointments

Attempts to stem the flow of refugees to Europe have so far had little success. Two months into 2016, we take a detailed look at the numbers of the refugee crisis and the European response.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: February 12, 2016
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External Publication

Analysis of developments in EU capital flows in the global context

Analysis of developments in EU capital flows in the global context

The purpose of our report is to provide a comprehensive overview of capital movements in Europe in a global context.

By: Zsolt Darvas, Pia Hüttl, Silvia Merler and Thomas Walsh Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 28, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

Bad banks and rude awakenings: Italian banks at a crossroads

Italian banks have recently come under market pressure, as investors seemed to have grown worried about the sector. This triggered a speed-up in the discussion between the Italian government and the European Commission about the creation of a “bad-bank”, on which a decision is reportedly due this week.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 26, 2016
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Silvia Merler

A financial side to a macroeconomic story: macro imbalances and financial integration in the euro area

In a recent paper, I looked at the evolution of financial cycles in the euro area and at their link with capital flows. Here, I focus on how those findings inform our understanding of euro-area macroeconomic imbalances, revisiting the analysis of national savings and investment correlation.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 18, 2016
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Opinion

Silvia Merler

Un’altra puntata nella saga dei guai bancari italiani

Dopo una lunga amministrazione controllata, si è raggiunto il momento della risoluzione per quattro piccole banche (Banca Marche, Cassa di risparmio di Ferrara, Popolare Etruria e CariChieti), che in totale contano per circa l’1% dei depositi italiani.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: December 11, 2015
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Silvia Merler

Italian “creative” resolution, episode 2

As four tiny Italian banks are being restructured, Italy is again looking for a “creative” approach to bank resolution, which however looks a little bit like financial repression.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: November 24, 2015
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