Blog Post


An analysis of a total of 26 431 tweets between 23 and 25 November confirms the tendency towards a NO sentiment expressed in polls.
Opinion

L'attuale crisi migratoria e gli altri devastanti postumi delle cosiddette “Primavere arabe” illustrano in modo tragico, ma chiaro, la necessità di un nuovo approccio di cooperazione da parte dell’Europa nell’area del Mediterraneo. L’Europa deve urgentemente ripensare le proprie politiche nell’area, al fine di contribuire in modo concreto e sostenibile allo sviluppo economico dei Paesi sud: l’unico vero rimedio strutturale alle attuali problematiche.
Blog Post

Speech by the European Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy, Miguel Arias Cañete, at Bruegel on 24 November 2016
Opinion

Mutually beneficial Jakarta-Seoul relationship could develop further with an upgrade in Jakarta’s sovereign debt.
Blog Post

The properly measured EU-wide Gini coefficient of disposable income inequality shows that inequality in the EU as whole declined in 1994-2008, after which it remained broadly stable. However, within the EU, there are large differences in income inequality which require policy action.
3 hours ago
Public #debt in most advanced economies is reaching sky-high levels. What are the risks & what should be done?… https://t.co/bFu72XhnBz
5 hours ago
How did he do it? "Donald #Trump performed more strongly in states with higher income #inequality..."… https://t.co/XN8oDwYlI9
5 hours ago
Listen to our #podcast on #Brexit with @lionelbarber @JamesBlitz @GuntramWolff @mariademertzis… https://t.co/VbVsPDDpgu
Blog Post


Since the ECB’s announcement of its QE programme in January 2015, national central banks have been buying government and national agency bonds. In this post we look at the effect of QE on sectoral holdings of government bonds, based on our recently updated dataset.
Blog Post

Search engines are intermediaries in a two-way market between users and advertisers. Their huge stocks of data about users and their preferences can help search engines offer better services to all parties. But does this make market entry difficult for new players? And can we see network effects emerging in the search engine market?
Blog Post

Growth in Spain again exceeded expectations this year, and bank deleveraging appears to have reached an end. Addressing non-performing loans was a precondition for recovery, and it required comprehensive financial sector reform.
Blog Post

What’s at stake: this question should probably be re-formulated as “what’s NOT at stake?” On Tuesday 8 November, the US elected Donald Trump as its next President. Several aspects of Trump’s political and economic agenda appear extreme (we have previously focused on his stance on trade). After the initial shock, we review economists’ opinions on what has happened and what may happen. We will be coming back to this topic regularly.
Blog Post

Italians are being called to the ballot boxes on 4 December to either confirm or reject Constitutional amendments put forward by the government. Alessio Terzi constructed a probabilistic model based on poll data to assess the likelihood of such an event.
Blog Post

After Brexit, several major cities across the EU27 are looking to take over London's financial activity. While there are plenty of benefits in hosting a major financial centre, it also comes with significant risks and responsibilities.
Blog Post


Public discourse on social media was already in favour of Brexit by early summer 2015, and stayed that way until the referendum. An analysis of more than 890 000 tweets posted since 2012 reveals clear trends in the mood of online discussion. Our new methodology captures something that betting odds and opinion polls were not able to reveal – but will it be useful in future elections?