global crisis

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Blog Post

Challenges to debt sustainability in advanced economies

The gross general government debt-to-GDP ratios in many advanced economies have reached the highest levels in peacetime history and continue to grow, putting into question sovereign solvency in these economies.

By: Marek Dabrowski Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: December 8, 2016
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Policy Contribution

Are advanced economies at risk of falling into debt traps?

One of the consequences of the global financial crisis has been rapid growth in public debt in most advanced economies. This Policy Contribution assesses the size of public debt in advanced economies and considers the potential consequences of sovereign insolvency.

By: Marek Dabrowski Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: November 10, 2016
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External Publication

Currency crises in post-Soviet economies — a never ending story?

This paper offers an updated and comprehensive analysis of the currency crises in Russia and the former Soviet Union economies.

By: Marek Dabrowski Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: October 18, 2016
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Blog Post

Blaming the Fed for the Great Recession

What’s at stake: Following an article in the New York Times by David Beckworth and Ramesh Ponnuru, the conversation on the blogosphere was dominated this week by the question of whether the Fed actually caused the Great Recession. While not mainstream, this narrative recently received a boost as Ted Cruz, a Republican candidate for the White House, championed it.

By: Jérémie Cohen-Setton Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: February 1, 2016
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Blog Post

The persistence of slow growth

What’s at stake: The persistence of slow economic growth in the Great Recession has been puzzling. Two recent papers have tried to present a coherent framework for understanding this phenomenon. The first paper argues that we may have underestimated the importance of hysterisis effects. The second paper argues the global safe asset shortage cannot be resolved by lower world interest rates once we reach the zero lower bound. It is instead dissipated by a world recession that rebalances global asset markets.

By: Jérémie Cohen-Setton Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: November 16, 2015
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Policy Contribution

The growing intergenerational divide in Europe

During seven years of economic crisis, the intergenerational income and wealth divide has increased in many European Union countries. This paper reviews the pension reforms implemented by several countries and it provides policy recommendations to address the intergenerational divide.

By: Pia Hüttl, Karen E. Wilson and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: November 10, 2015
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Opinion

The systemic roots of Russia’s recession

To understand the deep causes behind Russia's recession, we must look at the history of the Russian transition and its partial reversal.

By: Marek Dabrowski Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: October 30, 2015
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Blog Post

The global debt overhang

What’s at stake: Seven years after the financial crisis, recovery is still weak in most parts of the global economy. The general debt overhang across sectors, which was not reduced in the last years, has often been cited as as the main factor weighing on global growth and inflation.

By: Uuriintuya Batsaikhan and Pia Hüttl Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: October 26, 2015
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Policy Contribution

The systemic roots of Russia’s recession

Recession in Russia has become a fact since mid-2014. What are the structural and institutional roots behind it?

By: Marek Dabrowski Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: October 16, 2015
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Blog Post

Has globalisation 'peaked'? Trade and GDP growth in the post-crisis context

Is the ‘Global Trade Slowdown’ a signal that globalisation has structurally 'peaked', and thus we should expect a stagnation of trade growth also in the future? Or is the slowdown just the result of cyclical drivers, e.g. the fragile European recovery and slower growth in China?

By: Carlo Altomonte, Italo Colantone and Elena Zaurino Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: September 7, 2015
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Opinion

The rolling global crisis will come home

When productivity growth slows down, there are two choices: to invest in the future or to live within one’s means. Instead, policymakers preoccupied with short-term goals have sought easy growth elixirs and soothing words.

By: Ashoka Mody and Bruegel Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: August 26, 2015
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Policy Contribution

The twenty-first century needs a better G20 and a new G7+

In an environment of rapid change in global patterns of trade and wealth creation, a new revamped (but highly representative) grouping should be created within the G20, to provide leadership on key economic policy matters. Euro-area members should give up their individual seats in this G7+, allowing room for China and other large emerging economies. 

By: Jim O‘Neill and Alessio Terzi Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: November 14, 2014
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