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Policy Contribution

PC 17 04

Brexit and the European financial system

Brexit will lead to a partial migration of financial firms from London to the EU27. This Policy Contribution provides a comparison between London and four major cities that will host most of the new EU27 wholesale market: Frankfurt, Paris, Dublin and Amsterdam. It gives a detailed picture of the wholesale markets, the largest players in these markets and the underlying clearing infrastructure. It also provides data on professional services and innovation.

By: Uuriintuya Batsaikhan, Robert Kalcik and Dirk Schoenmaker Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: February 9, 2017
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Policy Brief

PB 17 01

Making the best of Brexit for the EU27 financial system

The EU27 needs to upgrade its financial surveillance architecture to minimise the financial market fragmentation resulting from Brexit and the corresponding increase in borrowing costs for firms.

By: André Sapir, Dirk Schoenmaker and Nicolas Véron Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: February 8, 2017
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Blog Post

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Bruegel conference discusses strategies to tackle Europe’s NPL crisis

Bad loans and private sector debt distress are widely acknowledged to hold back investment and growth in Europe. It was good, then, to hear ECB Vice-President Vítor Constâncio call for a comprehensive strategy to address the non-performing loans problem at an event hosted by Bruegel last week.

By: Maria Demertzis and Alexander Lehmann Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: February 7, 2017
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Opinion

Alicia García-Herrero

China banks in 2017: No rebound in sight, rising risks for smaller banks

Alicia García-Herrero finds it unlikely that risk in the Chinese banking sector will abate any time soon. And the worries are strongest for smaller institutions. However, the chances of a total crisis are low, and proactive decisions now could pay dividends in the medium term.

By: Alicia García-Herrero Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: February 6, 2017
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Blog Post

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Will better insolvency standards help Europe’s debt deleveraging?

Insolvency regimes in the euro area are on the whole costly, lengthy, and recover little value. A new directive proposed by the Commission sensibly aims to strengthen preventive restructuring and to give once-failed entrepreneurs a second chance. But to assist banks in their NPL workout judicial capacity will need to be built up, and regimes better tailored to SMEs will be necessary.

By: Alexander Lehmann Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: January 23, 2017
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The Italian Lira: the exchange rate and employment in the ERM

In the decades before Italy joined the Euro, the Lira was devalued many times relative to the Deutschmark. Were these re-alignments accompanied by long term improvements on the labour market? The data suggests this was not the case.

By: Maria Demertzis, Konstantinos Efstathiou and Fabio Matera Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 13, 2017
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

The strange case of the MPS capital shortfall

Italy's banking saga continues with the announcement that beleaguered MPS may need to find an additional €3bn. What exactly has changed, and what does it say about ECB decision making?

By: Silvia Merler Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: December 27, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

Socio-economic determinants of the Italian vote

The socio-economic factors driving the 'no' result from Italy's referendum differ from the Brexit vote. The Italian NO vote seems to have been driven by young voters, and mostly related to a sense of economic “malaise”. However, the Brexit vote appears to have been strongly driven by older voters and somewhat less educated ones.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: December 12, 2016
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Blog Post

Silvia Merler

Financial implications of the Italian referendum

On Sunday, Italy will held a constitutional referendum whose implications for the political stability of the country are uncertain. Right after the referendum, Italy’s oldest and most troubled bank - Monte dei Paschi di Siena - is expected to complete a very important and sizable capital raise. Here we look at the situation and implications of this critical juncture.

By: Silvia Merler Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: December 2, 2016
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Policy Contribution

pc-20-16_page_01European Parliament

What impact does the ECB’s quantitative easing policy have on bank profitability?

This Policy Contribution shows that the effect of the ECB’s QE programme on bank profitability has not yet had a dramatically negative effect on bank operations.

By: Maria Demertzis and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance, European Parliament, Parliamentary Testimonies Date: November 30, 2016
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Blog Post

Giuseppe Porcaro
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Tweeting the Italian referendum: the hashtag war

We are monitoring an aggregate of twitter hashtags in the run up to the Italian Constitutional referendum of 4 December 2016.

By: Giuseppe Porcaro, Henrik Müller and Gerret von Nordheim Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: November 29, 2016
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Blog Post

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Can public support help Europe build distressed asset markets?

Distressed asset investors can relieve banks of their NPL overhang and offer valuable restructuring expertise, although banks will need to realise a further valuation loss. Regulators could do a lot to support the growth of this market.

By: Alexander Lehmann Topic: Finance & Financial Regulation Date: November 29, 2016